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Compare prediction-market price, sportsbook no-vig probability, friction, and market-rule comparability in one view.
| Event | PM Price | SB No-Vig | Signal | Liquidity | Friction | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction-market and sportsbook prices are within typical bid-ask noise. (data may be stale) | 0.1% | 0.1% | Markets agree0 bps · high confidence | $7,339,966 | 0% | Not Comparable | 40236m |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction-market and sportsbook prices are within typical bid-ask noise. (data may be stale) | 0.3% | 0.3% | Markets agree0 bps · high confidence | $8,168,480 | 0% | Not Comparable | 40236m |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction-market and sportsbook prices are within typical bid-ask noise. (data may be stale) | 0.8% | 30.3% | Markets agree0 bps · high confidence | $3,288,531 | 0% | Not Comparable | 40236m |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction-market and sportsbook prices are within typical bid-ask noise. (data may be stale) | 1.1% | 39.9% | Markets agree0 bps · high confidence | $1,393,028 | 0% | Not Comparable | 40236m |
This tool provides data for market analysis and educational purposes only. It is not trading, investment, financial, or wagering advice.
Market signals and probability differences are diagnostic inputs only. Actual execution can differ because of fees, slippage, liquidity, market access, data delay, and settlement rule differences.