Research platformWorld Cup pricing intelligence2026 cycle
Polymarket vs sportsbook research
Compare pricing gaps, execution friction, rule mismatch, and timing context across World Cup markets.
Polymarket vs sportsbook research
Compare pricing gaps, execution friction, rule mismatch, and timing context across World Cup markets.
World Cup market intelligence
Live win probabilities from prediction markets and sportsbooks, updated through the tournament. See the leaderboard, today’s biggest movers, and how the two markets line up — free, no signup required.
Sources
Markets + books
Prediction-market prices and sportsbook no-vig odds
Refresh
All tournament
Snapshots updated through the World Cup
Access
Free
Leaderboard, movers, and the daily CSV
Free daily CSV
Every mapped market — prediction-market prices, sportsbook no-vig probabilities, friction and rule context — as a daily CSV. No charge, just an email.
Want the written interpretation layer? See the research packs ($19–$49).
Market view
What prediction markets and sportsbooks currently imply, ranked by likelihood.
Market view
Biggest shifts in prediction-market win probability since the previous snapshot.
France
16.3% → 16.4%
StalePortugal
11.4% → 11.3%
StaleMarket Desk
Track where prediction-market prices, sportsbook no-vig probabilities, and execution friction diverge.
OpenMethod
Convert odds, strip out vig, and test fractional Kelly sizing against your own assumptions.
OpenCalendar
See how match windows overlap with liquidity, trading sessions, and event-driven attention spikes.
OpenDiagnostic updates
Get product updates and occasional notes when win probabilities move in ways worth a look.
Why it exists
The product keeps fee assumptions, rule mismatches, liquidity risk, and stale data visible. That is the point of the interface, not a caveat buried at the bottom.
CSV snapshots and downloadable briefs for analysts who want the underlying rows, not just summaries.
Every market read is contextualized by update lag, fee assumptions, and whether the comparison is stable enough to trust.
Settlement mismatches and structural caveats stay visible instead of being hidden beneath a single score.
Positioning
Kickoff Markets is a World Cup market intelligence product for people who want a clear read on what prediction markets and sportsbooks imply — with liquidity, rule context, and timing risk kept visible. It is closer to a briefing terminal than a tout sheet.
Questions about access, delivery, or methodology can go directly to hello@kickoffmarkets.com.
Kickoff Markets is a Market Diagnostics Tool for educational purposes only. Scores, pricing gaps, and comparisons are diagnostic inputs only, not trading, investment, financial, or wagering advice. Full disclaimer.