Market detail
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ecuador outright vs single match h2h — not the same event; included to illustrate not_comparable.
PM Price
0.8%
Bid / Ask 0.007 / 0.008
SB No-Vig
30.3%
betrivers
Market Signal
0 bps
Confidence: high
Liquidity
$3,288,531
high
Price Analysis
- Polymarket Volume
- $1,052,271
- Sportsbook Odds
- 210 / 3.100
- Settlement
Comparability
0%
Ecuador outright vs single match h2h — not the same event; included to illustrate not_comparable.
- not comparable mapping
Execution Friction
0%
Friction includes fees, spread, liquidity, freshness, and access constraints. It is shown separately from the market signal so you can see how much of any apparent gap would be consumed by execution costs.
This tool provides data for market analysis and educational purposes only. It is not trading, investment, financial, or wagering advice.
Market signals and probability differences are diagnostic inputs only. Actual execution can differ because of fees, slippage, liquidity, market access, data delay, and settlement rule differences.