Research platformWorld Cup pricing intelligence2026 cycle
Polymarket vs sportsbook research
Compare pricing gaps, execution friction, rule mismatch, and timing context across World Cup markets.
Polymarket vs sportsbook research
Compare pricing gaps, execution friction, rule mismatch, and timing context across World Cup markets.
Market Detail
Kickoff Markets
Polymarket Yes vs DraftKings outright winner — Argentina.
Prediction-market and sportsbook prices are within typical bid-ask noise. (data may be stale)
Freshness
1h ago
Updated today, but no longer current.
PM Price
7.8%
Bid / Ask 0.078 / 0.079
SB No-Vig
7.6%
draftkings
Pricing Gap
16 bps
Confidence: low
Liquidity
$6,970,388
high
Price Analysis
Comparability
100%
Polymarket Yes vs DraftKings outright winner — Argentina.
Execution Friction
100/100
Friction includes fees, spread, liquidity, freshness, and access constraints. It is shown separately from the pricing gap so you can see how much any apparent gap would be consumed by execution cost.
Kickoff Markets is a Market Diagnostics Tool for educational purposes only. Scores, pricing gaps, and comparisons are diagnostic inputs only, not trading, investment, financial, or wagering advice. Full disclaimer.