Market detail
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket Yes vs DraftKings outright winner — Argentina.
PM Price
8.3%
Bid / Ask 0.083 / 0.084
SB No-Vig
9.0%
draftkings
Market Signal
-72 bps
Confidence: low
Liquidity
$1,055,857
high
Price Analysis
- Polymarket Volume
- $314,397
- Sportsbook Odds
- 850 / 9.500
- Settlement
Comparability
100%
Polymarket Yes vs DraftKings outright winner — Argentina.
- low confidence data
- stale data
- high friction
Execution Friction
100%
Friction includes fees, spread, liquidity, freshness, and access constraints. It is shown separately from the market signal so you can see how much of any apparent gap would be consumed by execution costs.
This tool provides data for market analysis and educational purposes only. It is not trading, investment, financial, or wagering advice.
Market signals and probability differences are diagnostic inputs only. Actual execution can differ because of fees, slippage, liquidity, market access, data delay, and settlement rule differences.